The "Rebel Star" Prabhas is no stranger to massive openings, but his latest outing, The Raja Saab, is making headlines for all the wrong reasons. Despite a thunderous $100$ crore global opening, the film has witnessed a staggering decline, leaving trade analysts and fans questioning its box office sustainability.
As of January 16, 2026, the film's first-week
trajectory suggests a "shocking collapse" rather than a steady run.
Here is a deep dive into the numbers, the competition, and what went wrong.
The Numbers: A Week of Diminishing Returns
While a ₹100 crore opening day is a dream for most, for a
Prabhas-starrer with a reported ₹400 crore budget, it was merely the
starting line. However, the momentum vanished almost instantly.
- First
Week Total: As of Day 7, The Raja Saab has grossed
approximately ₹191 crore worldwide.
- The
₹200 Crore Hurdle: The film failed to hit the psychological benchmark
of ₹200 crore in its opening week, a feat usually achieved by Prabhas's
films within the first 3–4 days.
- Domestic
Struggle: In India, the film has netted roughly ₹130 crore,
with a worrying 90% drop in collections by its first Monday.
Comparison: Falling Behind "Adipurush" and
"Saaho"
The most alarming trend for the makers is how The Raja
Saab stacks up against Prabhas’s previous "divisive" hits. Even
films that faced heavy critical backlash, like Adipurush and Saaho,
showed more resilience at the ticket window.
|
Film |
Day 7 Global Gross (Approx) |
Difference vs. The Raja Saab |
|
Saaho |
₹300+ Crore |
+ ₹110 Crore |
|
Adipurush |
₹300+ Crore |
+ ₹110 Crore |
|
The Raja Saab |
₹191 Crore |
- |
Analysts point out that The Raja Saab is currently
lagging ₹110 crore behind both these films at the same stage. Unlike his
previous action spectacles, the horror-comedy genre has failed to draw the
repeat "mass" audience required to sustain such a high-budget
project.
Regional Rivalry: Chiranjeevi Takes the Lead
The slump is further magnified by the explosive performance
of Chiranjeevi’s "Mana Shankara Vara Prasad Garu." Released
just days after The Raja Saab, the Megastar's film has completely
hijacked the Telugu box office.
- 4x
Daily Collections: Reports indicate that Chiranjeevi’s film is
currently outearning The Raja Saab by a ratio of 4:1 in
daily collections.
- Sankranti
Dominance: While The Raja Saab was expected to be the
"Sankranti Winner," the audience shift toward Mana Shankara
Vara Prasad Garu has led to canceled shows and screen replacements for
the Prabhas-starrer in several territories.
Why is "The Raja Saab" Slumping?
Several factors have contributed to this unexpected box
office "crash and burn":
- Genre
Mismatch: Fans accustomed to seeing Prabhas in
"larger-than-life" roles (Salaar, Kalki 2898 AD)
found the horror-comedy shift jarring.
- Runtime
Backlash: The original 3-hour runtime was criticized for being
"boring and stretched," leading the makers to rush a
"trimmed version" to theaters—but the damage to word-of-mouth
was already done.
- The
"Festive" Excuse: Director Maruthi stirred controversy by
claiming audiences were in a "festive mood" and failed to see
the film's "layered narrative," a defense that has been largely
mocked on social media.
The Verdict
With Hindi shows already being canceled in Northern
belts and replaced by holdover hits like Dhurandhar, the road ahead for The
Raja Saab looks bleak. Unless the upcoming weekend shows a miraculous
recovery, the film is on track to be one of the biggest box office
disappointments of 2026.

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